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  蔡 昉 

   

  1956年9月生于北京,先后毕业于中国人民大学、中国社会科学院研究生院。经济学博士。曾在国外多所大学任访问学者。中共十七大、十八大代表;第十一届全国人大代表、全国人大常委会委员、农业与农村委员会委员。中国社会科学院学部委员、学部主席团成员、人口与劳动经济研究所所长,兼任人力资源研究中心主任。1995年始任博士生导师。

  20世纪90年代以来分别获得“做出突出贡献的中国博士学位获得者”、国家级“有突出贡献的中青年专家”、出国留学人员杰出成就奖等表彰。2003年3月28日在中共中央政治局集体学习中就“世界就业发展趋势和我国就业政策研究”进行了讲解。近年获第二届张培刚发展经济学优秀成果奖;第四届中国发展百人奖;第四届中国农村发展研究奖。被评选为“影响新中国60年经济建设的100位经济学家”之一。

  兼任中国人口学会副会长、全球变化人文因素国际项目中国委员会副主席、中华全国青年社会科学工作者联谊会副会长、农业部软科学委员会委员、国家人口和计划生育委员会专家工作委员会委员、国家规划专家委员会委员、内蒙古自治区等一些省市顾问。《中国社会科学》、《经济研究》等刊物编委,《中国人口科学》杂志主编;国内外多家著名杂志审稿人。中国经济50人论坛成员。曾先后多次担任世界银行、亚洲开发银行、联合国开发计划署、经济合作与发展组织、国际劳工组织等国际组织项目顾问。担任 美国科学院项目顾问、2009年《人类发展报告》顾问委员会成员、世界经济论坛人口理事会成员、英国皇家学会人与地球工作组成员、国际经济学会第16届世界大会筹委会委员、分会主持人。

  主要研究领域包括:“三农”问题的理论与政策、劳动经济学、人口经济学、中国经济改革、经济增长、收入分配和贫困等领域。目前正在主持国家社会科学基金重大项目《未来5至10年我国就业形势和就业政策》、中国社会科学院重大项目《老年化与中国经济增长潜力研究》、世界银行项目《非正规劳动力市场和经济转型:经济危机下中国的就业规则及调整》、加拿大国际发展研究中心委托项目《非正规性、贫困与增长:中国和印度发展进程中就业问题研究》、国家发改委委托项目《十二五时期劳动力市场状况与城市化预测》等。

  2005年以来出版著述或主编中文专著25部,个人文集5部,英文著作4部,发表中文论文约200篇,英文论文41篇。包括:专著《科学发展观与增长可持续性》、《中国经济》、《中国劳动力市场的发育与转型》、《刘易斯转折点——中国经济发展新阶段》等,主编《中国经济转型30年》、《中国人口与劳动问题报告》系列专著等。

  

   主要著作目录 

  1. 《中国的二元经济与劳动力转移——理论分析与政策建议》,中国人民大学出版社,1990年。

  2. 《十字路口的抉择——深化农业经济体制改革的思考》,中国社会科学出版社,1992年。

  3. 《中国的奇迹:发展战略与经济改革》(与林毅夫、李周合著),上海三联书店、上海人民出版社,1995年。随后以英文、日文、韩文、法文、俄文、越南文等语言出版。

  4. 《充分信息与国有企业改革》(与林毅夫、李周合著),上海三联书店、上海人民出版社,1996年。随后有英文、日文等版本。

  5. 《穷人的经济学:农业依然是基础》,武汉出版社,1998年;社会科学文献出版社,2007。

  6. 《中国正在进行的农业改革》(与卡特、钟甫宁合著),中国财经出版社,1999年。另有英文版本出版。

  7. 《可持续发展战略》(与张车伟合著),中共中央党校出版社,1999年。

  8. 《中国人口与劳动问题报告》(主编),社会科学文献出版社,自2000年后历年。

  9. 《惑与不惑之间——与经济学结缘20年》,广西人民出版社,2001年。

  10. 《中国人口流动方式与途径(1990-1999年)》(主编),社会科学文献出版社,2001年。

  11. 《人口,将给中国带来什么》(与张车伟等合著),广州:广东教育出版社,2002年。

  12. 《鹰和人都吃鸡》,天津人民出版社,2002年。

  13. 《制度、趋同与人文发展——区域发展和西部开发战略思考》(合著),中国人民大学出版社,2002年。

  14. 《中国经济》(与林毅夫合著),中国财经出版社,2003年;另有繁体字版和英文版出版。

  15. 《劳动力流动的政治经济学》(与都阳、王美艳合著),上海三联书店、上海人民出版社,2003年。

  16. 《城市就业与劳动力市场转型》(与杨云彦、陈金永、王德文合著),中国统计出版社,2004年。

  17. 《中国劳动力市场转型与发育》(与都阳、王美艳合著),商务印书馆,2005年。

  18. 《民生经济学——“三农”与就业问题的解析》,社会科学文献出版社,2005年。

  19. 《摆脱就业与保障的困境》(与于法鸣共同主编),中国旅游出版社,2006年。

  20. 《中国转轨时期劳动力流动》(与白南生共同主编),社会科学文献出版社,2006年。

  21. 《农村发展与增加农民收入》(与王德文等合著),中国劳动社会保障出版社,2006年。

  22. 《中国转轨时期收入差距与贫困》(与万广华共同主编),社会科学文献出版社,2006年。

  23. 《中国人口与可持续发展》(主编),科学出版社,2007年。

  24. 《中国流动人口问题》,社会科学文献出版社,2007年。

  25. 《科学发展观与增长可持续性》,社会科学文献出版社,2006年;中国出版集团、中华书局,2009年。

  26. 《中国劳动与社会保障体制改革30年研究》(主编),经济管理出版社,2008年。

  27. 《WTO框架下中国工业竞争力研究》(与王德文等合著),中国社会科学出版社,2008年。

  28. 《刘易斯转折点——中国经济发展新阶段》,社会科学文献出版社,2008年。

  29. 《中国农村改革与变迁:30年历程和经验分析》(与王德文、都阳合著),格致出版社,2008年。

  30. 《劳动经济学——理论与中国现实》(与都阳、高文书、王美艳合著),北京师范大学出版社,2009年。

  31. 《蔡昉论文选》,中国出版集团、中华书局,2009年。

  32. 《中国经济转型30年》(主编),社会科学文献出版社,2009年。

  

    近年英文文章目录 

   

       Lin, Justin, Fang Cai and Li Zhou (2003) The China Miracle: Development Strategy and Economic Reform, Hong Kong: Chinese University Press, revised.

  Yang, Dennis and Fang Cai (2003) The Political Economy of China’s Rural-Urban Divide, In Nicholas C. Hope, Dennis Tao Yang and Mu Yang Li (eds.) How Far Across the River: Chinese Policy Reform at the Millennium, Stanford, California: Stanford University Press. 

  Cai, Fang and Dewen Wang (2003) Migration As Marketization: What Can We Learn from China’s 2000 Census Data?, The China Review, Vol. 3, No. 2 (Fall), pages 73-93. 

  Huang, Yiping, Fang Cai and Tina Chen (2004) Private Enterprise Development in Rural China, in Ross Garnaut and Ligang Song (eds.), China’s Third Economic Transformation: The Rise of the Private Economy, London and New York: RoutledgeCurzon Taylor & Francis Group.

  Cai, Fang (2004) The Consistency of China's Statistics on Employment: Stylized Facts and Implications for Public Policies, The Chinese Economy, Vol. 37, No. 5 (September-October), pp. 74 – 89. 

  Cai, Fang and Dewen Wang (2004) Readjustment of Macroeconomic Policy and Growth of Farmers’ Income, The Chinese Economy, Vol. 37, No. 2. 

  Cai, Fang and Meiyan Wang (2004), Irregular Employment and the Growth of the Labor Market: An Explanation of Employment Growth in China’s Cities and Towns, The Chinese Economy, Vol. 37, No. 2.

  Cai, Fang and Yang Du (2004) Labour Market Integration: Evidence from Wage Convergence in Manufacturing, in Garnaut and Song (eds) China: Is Rapid Growth Sustainable, Canberra: Asia Pacific Press. 

  Cai, Fang and Dewen Wang (2005) China’s Demographic Transition: Implications for Growth, in Garnaut and Song (eds) The China Boom and Its Discontents, Canberra: Asia Pacific Press. 

  Cai, Fang, Meiyan Wang and Yang Du (2005) China’s Labor Market on Crossroad, China and World Economy, Vol. 13, No. 1. 

  Cai, Fang and Dewen Wang (2006) Employment Growth, Labour Scarcity and the Nature of China’s Trade Expansion, in Ross Garnaut and Ligang Song (eds.), The Turning Point in China’s Economic Development, Canberra: Asia Pacific Press.

  Cai, Fang (2006) Choosing a Growth Pattern that Suits the Present Development Stage, China Economist, No. 3 (July), pp. 80-88. 

  Cai, Fang and Meiyan Wang (2006) Challenge facing China’s Economic Growth in Its Aging but not Affluent Era, China & World Economy, Vol. 14, Issue. 5, pp. 23-31.

  Cai, Fang, John Giles and Xin Meng (2006) How Well Do Children Insure Parents against Low Retirement Income? An Analysis Using Survey Data from Urban China, Journal of Public Economics, 90: 2229–2255. 

  Giles, John, Albert Park and Fang Cai (2006) Reemployment of Dislocated Workers in Urban China: The Roles of Information and Incentives, Journal of Comparative Economics, 34: 582–607. 

  Giles, John, Albert Park and Fang Cai (2006) How has Economic Restructuring Affected China’s Urban Workers? The China Quarterly, Vol. 185, pp. 61-95. 

  Cai, Fang (2007) Pay-Back Time for China’s One-Child Policy, Far East Economic Review, May.

  Cai, Fang, Albert Park and Yaohui Zhao (2008) The Chinese Labor Market in the Reform Era, in Loren Brandt and Thomas Rawski (eds.) China’s Great Economic Transformation, Cambridge University Press.

  CaiFang2007Rural Urban Income Gap and Critical Point of Institutional Change, Economic Change and Restructuring, 40: 189-206.

  Du, Yang, Fang Cai, and Meiyan Wang (2007) Labor Demand in China: Comparison between Fast Growing Regions and Others, The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, Vol.50, No.3, July-Sep. 

  Wang, Dewen, Cai Fang and Gao Wenshu (2007) Globalisation and the shortage of rural workers: a macroeconomic perspective, in Nielsen, Ingrid, Russell Smyth and Marika Vicziany (eds.) Globalisation and Labour Mobility in China, Clayton, Australia: Monash University Press, pp. 19-37. 

  Cai, Fang, Yang Du and Changbao Zhao (2007) Regional Labour Market Integration since China’s World Trade Organization Entry: Evidence from Household-level Data, in Garnaut, Ross and Ligang Song (eds) China – Linking Markets for Growth, Canberra: Asia Pacific Press, pp. 133-150.

  Wang, Meiyan and Fang Cai (2008) Gender Earnings Differential in Urban China, Review of Development Economics, Vol.12, No.2. pp.442–454. 

  Cai, Fang (2008) Approaching a Triumphal Span: How Far Is China Towards its Lewisian Turning Point? UNU-WIDER Research Paper No. 2008/09. 

  Cai, Fang and Meiyan Wang (2008) A Counterfactual Analysis on Unlimited Surplus Labor in Rural China, China & World Economy, Vol.16, No.1, pp.51-65. 

  Cai, Fang and Yang Du (2008) The Political Economy of Emissions Reduction in China: Are Incentives for Low Carbon Growth Compatible? in Song, Ligang and Wing Thye Woo (eds) China’s Dilemma: Economic Growth, the Environment and Climate Change, Asia Pacific Press and Brookings Institution Press and Social Sciences Academic Press (China), pp. 226-242. 

  Cai, Fang and Dewen Wang (2008) Impacts of Internal Migration on Economic Growth and Urban Development in China, in DeWind, Josh and Jennifer Holdaway (eds) Migration and Development Within and Across Borders: Research and Policy Perspectives on Internal and International Migration, New York: IOM International Organization for Migration and The Social Science Research Council, pp. 245-272. 

  Cai, Fang, Justin Yifu Lin, and Yong Cao (2009) The Chinese Economy: Reform and Development, McGraw-Hill.

  Cai, Fang, Dewen Wang and Qu Yue (2009) Flying Geese within Borders: How Does China Sustain Its Labour-intensive Industries, in Garnaut, Ross, Ligang Song and Wing Thye Woo (eds) China’s New Place in a World in Crisis: Economic, Geopolitical and Environmental Dimensions, Canberra: ANU E Press, Brookings Institution Press, Social Sciences Academic Press (China), pp. 209-232.

  Cai, Fang (ed.)(2009) The China Population and Labor Yearbook, Volume 1: The Approaching Lewis Turning Point and Its Policy Implications, Leiden?Boston: Brill. 

  Cai, Fang and Meiyan Wang (2009) China’s Process of Aging before Getting Rich, in Cai, Fang (ed.) The China Population and Labor Yearbook Volume 1: The Approaching Lewis Turning Point and Its Policy Implications, Leiden?Boston: Brill.

  Wang, Meiyan and Cai Fang (2009) Transforming Unemployment Shock into Labor Market Development, in Cai, Fang (ed.) The China Population and Labor Yearbook Volume 1: The Approaching Lewis Turning Point and Its Policy Implications, Leiden?Boston: Brill. 

  Cai, Fang and Meiyan Wang (2009) Labor Cost Increase and Growth Pattern Transition, in Cai, Fang (ed.) The China Population and Labor Yearbook Volume 1: The Approaching Lewis Turning Point and Its Policy Implications, Leiden?Boston: Brill.

  Cai, Fang and Meiyan Wang (2009) The Counterfactuals of Unlimited Surplus Labor in Rural China, in Cai, Fang (ed.) The China Population and Labor Yearbook Volume 1: The Approaching Lewis Turning Point and Its Policy Implications, Leiden?Boston: Brill.

  Wang, Dewen and Fang Cai (2009) Migration and Poverty Alleviation in China, in Murphy, Rachel (eds) Labour Migration and Social Development in Contemporary China, London and New York: Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group, pp. 17-46. 

  Cai, Fang and Meiyan Wang (2009) Proactive Employment Policy and Labor Market Development, in Wang, Mengkui (eds) China in the Wake of Asia’s Financial Crisis, London and New York: Routledge, pp. 178-195. 

  Cai, Fang, Yang Du and Meiyan Wang (2009) Migration and Labor Mobility in China, Human Development Research Paper, No. 9, New York: United Nations Development Programme, Human Development Report Office. 

  Cai, Fang and Kam Wing Chan (2009) The Global Economic Crisis and Unemployment in China, Eurasian Geography and Economics, Vol. 50, No. 5, pp. 513-531. 

  Cai, Fang, Dewen Wang, and Huachu Zhang (2010) Employment Effectiveness of China’s Economic Stimulus Package, China and World Economy, Vol. 18 (Jan.-Feb.) pp. 33-46. 

  Cai, Fang and Meiyan Wang (2010) Urbanisation with Chinese Characteristics, in Garnaut, Ross, Jane Golley and Ligang Song (eds) China: The Next Twenty Years of Reform and Development, Australian National University E Press, Brookings Institution Press, Social Sciences Academic Press, pp.319-340. 

  Cai, Fang and Dewen Wang (2010) Employment Should Top Crisis Agenda, China Economist, Forthcoming. 

  Cai, Fang and Meiyan Wang (2010), Growth and Structural Changes in Employment in Transition China, Journal of Comparative Economics, vol. 38, pp. 71-81. 

  Cai, Fang (ed.)(2010) The China Population and Labor Yearbook Volume 2: The Sustainability of Economic Growth from the Perspective of Human Resources, Leiden?Boston: Brill. 

  Park, Albert, Fang Cai, and Yang Du (2010) Can China Meet Its Employment Challenges? in Oi, Jean, Scott Rozelle, and Xueguang Zhou (eds) Growing Pains: Tensions and Opportunity in China’s Transformation, Stanford: The Walter H. Shorenstein, Asia-Pacific Research Center, Stanford University, pp. 27-55. 

  Cai, Fang (ed)(2010) Transforming the Chinese Economy, 1978-2008, Leiden?Boston: Brill.

   Cai, Fang, Du Yang, and Wang Meiyan (2010) Employment and Inequality Outcomes in China, OECD and European Union Join High-Level Conference, 19 May 2010, OECD Conference Centre, Paris, France. 

  Cai, Fang (2010) The Formation and Evolution of China’s Migrant Labor Policy, in Zhang, Xiaobo, Shenggen Fan, and Arjan de Haan (eds) Narratives of Chinese Economic Reforms: How Does China Cross the River? New Jersey: World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. pp. 71-90. 

  Cai, Fang (2010) Policy Reforms of Labor Mobility and Urbanization in Transition China, in Wu, Ho-Mou and Yang Yao (eds) Reform and Development in China: What Can China Offer the Developing World? London and New York: Routledge, pp. 126-139. 

  Cai, Fang (2010) China’s Next Giant: Urbanized Migrants As New Consumers, China Economist, Vol. 5, No. 5, pp.82-87. 

  Cai, Fang (2010) Demographic Transition, Demographic Dividend, and Lewis Turning Point in China, China Economic Journal, Vol. 3, No. 2, pp. 107-119. 

  Cai, Fang (2011) Hukou System Reform and Unification of Rural–urban Social Welfare, China & World Economy, Vol. 19, No. 3, pp. 33-48. 

  Cai, Fang (2012) Is There a “Middle-income Trap”? Theories, Experiences and Relevance to China, China &World Economy, Vol. 20, No. 1. 

  Zhu, Yu, Zhongmin Wu, Meiyan Wang, Yang Du and Fang Cai (2012) Do Migrants Really Save More? Understanding the Impact of Remittances on Savings in Rural China, Journal of Development Studies, doi:10.1080/00220388.2011.638141 

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